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Euro 2024 Betting Tips and Prop Bets for Sunday 6/30/24

The 2024 UEFA European Football Championship – also known as Euro 2024 – is here and we’re already into the round of 16.

FanDuel Sportsbook’s Euro 2024 odds offer several ways to get in on the action, including betting lines for each match.

Let’s take a look at the best bets for Sunday.

All Euro 2024 odds are from FanDuel Sportsbook and are subject to change after this article is published.

Betting tips for the 2024 European Championship

England vs. Slovakia (12 p.m. ET)

Less than 2.5 goals (-138)

England (ranked 5th in the FIFA world rankings) begin their knockout phase campaign with a round of 16 clash against Slovakia (45th). The Three Lions are heavy favourites to advance to the quarter-finals (-750) and win in regulation time (-260), according to the Euro 2024 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

England earned their place in the round of 16 by winning Group C. However, it was a hugely disappointing group stage performance, with a win over Serbia (32nd) and draws against both Denmark (21st) and Slovakia (45th). England recorded under 1.0 xG, according to FBRef, in all three games. Their 0.73 xG/90 is the third-worst overall after the group stage, and the worst among the remaining teams.

Slovakia finished third in Group E, generating even more xG (2.4) than England (2.2). They started their campaign with a shock 1-0 win against Belgium, before losing to Ukraine and drawing against Romania. Their 0.73 xG/90 ranks fourth overall and second among the remaining teams, behind only England.

While England’s lacklustre record has dominated the headlines, their defence has been a bright spot. They have allowed 0.2 xG or less in two of their three games, and their 0.38 xG allowed/90 ranks first. Their games at Euro 2024 have an average combined xG total of just 1.13.

Slovakia have struggled to score throughout the tournament, and now they face an elite English defense. They are listed at -160 and are not scoring any goals. Assuming England keep a clean sheet again, it will be less than 2.5 goals to the Three Lions attack.

As has been the case throughout the tournament, the talent is there for England to score multiple goals against a considerably less talented side. Gareth Southgate’s second-half changes against Slovenia had a positive impact, but it remains to be seen whether he will implement those changes to the starting XI on Sunday.

Spain vs. Georgia (3:00 p.m. ET)

Spain -1.5 goals (-140)

In what is expected to be the most one-sided meeting of the round of 16, Spain are the big favourites to advance (-2000) and to win (-550) against Georgia in regular time.

Spain won Group B, the Group of Death, with victories over Italy (10th), Croatia (9th) and Albania (66th). They actually lost to Croatia on xG (2.0-2.1) but dominated Italy (2.0-0.2) and Albania (1.5-0.5). Overall, they are fourth in xG/90 (1.83) and eighth in xG allowed/90 (0.91). They have yet to concede a goal in this tournament.

Georgia are coming off one of the most shocking upsets in European Championship history: their 2-0 win over Portugal. They lost the match on xG 2.0-1.6 and Portugal, who had already won the group, rested some usual starters. Still, it was a very impressive result for the 74th-ranked country in the FIFA World Rankings.

Despite their underdog status, Georgia have tried to play to the fore throughout the tournament. They have generated at least 1.1 xG in all three of their games, averaging 1.28 xG/90, 11th best. Unfortunately, their defence has been a major weak spot, with their 2.63 xG allowed/90 ranking lagging well behind.

Georgia could perhaps opt for a more conservative game plan in this case, but even if they do, they will have a hard time stopping Spain. Regardless of how Georgia lines up, I expect Spain to win comfortably and I’ll be happy to back them if they win by at least two goals.

Prop betting

Lamine Yamal scores or assists (-120): Yamal was rested in Spain’s final group stage match, playing 18 minutes as a substitute after starting the first two games. He played better against Croatia (one assist, three shots and three chances created) than he did against Italy (one shot and one chance created), but Georgia’s poor defending means he can put in another positive performance on Sunday.

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The above author is an employee of FanDuel and is not eligible to participate in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting bets on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Following the author’s advice does not guarantee a successful outcome. You must use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports bets.